Source: Rivian

Even as the U.S. vehicle marketplace faces the threatening possibilities of steep tariffs on imported vehicles and the elimination of helpful federal tax credits, automakers will continue to expand their EV offerings. In order to remain competitive, there’s a key segment strongly desired amongst many consumers wanting to go all-in on electrification: three-row crossovers and SUVs. Data from AutoPacific’s 2024 Future Vehicle Planner, which surveyed over 14,000 consumers who intend to acquire a new vehicle within the next three years, revealed nearly half of all future three-row SUV/XSUV shoppers would consider purchasing one that’s specifically an EV and another 8% actually intend to do so – a high percentage considering the limited options currently available.

Electric Three-Row SUV/XSUV Segment Expected to Grow

With automakers spreading their mix of EVs across multiple segments, expect more three-row SUV/XSUV models in the coming years. AutoPacific’s North American Competitive Battleground, a continuously updated online service that tracks future product intel, shows significant growth in the number of three-row electric offerings in the coming years. As of December, consumers can pick from only seven electric three-row SUV/XSUV nameplates: the Volvo EX90, VinFast VF9, Tesla Model X, Rivian R1S, Mercedes-Benz EQS SUV and EQB SUV, and Kia’s EV9. Customer deliveries for a handful of other upcoming models, like Cadillac’s Escalade IQ, are also expected to commence by the end of 2024. Starting next year and beyond, more battery-powered three-row SUV/XSUVs are slated to arrive, both from mainstream and premium makes. 

Consumer data and insights from AutoPacific’s Future Vehicle Planner show that 59% of electric three-row SUV/XSUV intenders and considerers want to spend less than $50,000, indicating there are affordability barriers that need to be overcome as well as a need for more non-luxury electric three-row products. At the moment, the Kia EV9 and Mercedes-Benz EQB are the least expensive electric three-row SUVs/XSUVs with starting MSRPs starting in the $55,000 range. Clearly, the data indicate there is room in the market for more affordable three-row electric offerings.

According to AutoPacific’s most recent forecast of U.S. light vehicle sales, fully-electric SUVs/XSUVs are expected to more than double in total light vehicle market share from 2024 to 2029, from 5.8% in expected this year to over 13% in 2029, while three-row fully-electric SUV/XSUVs specifically are forecast to nearly quadruple from well under 100,000 sales in 2024 to around 400,000 sales in 2029. “All-electric three-row SUVs and crossovers are set to become one of the most important growth segments in the EV space,” says Ed Kim, President and Chief Analyst at AutoPacific. “There is a perfect storm of life stage needs and EV acceptance that will power consumer interest and sales in this rapidly emerging space.”

Who is the Electric Three-Row SUV/XSUV Buyer and What do they Want?

Data from AutoPacific’s Future Vehicle Planner reveals Millennials are the most likely generation to want to go fully electric, and they are also very likely in their family-raising years. The typical consumer who would consider buying an electric three-row SUV/XSUV is a married female Millennial parent living in a single-family home in the suburbs and driving less than 30 miles per day. More than half of all shoppers and considerers believe they can have home charging equipment installed relatively easy and cost effectively, while a quarter are aware of possible required extensive, expensive electrical upgrades.

Consumers interested in an electric three-row SUV/XSUV are eager for the most modern technology available (including ADAS) and more than half are willing to pay more for an environmentally-friendly vehicle, but not necessarily willing to make trade-offs for that ownership. These buyers are fans of long road trips and shuttle children around, but also rely on their vehicle for commuting. While the brand of vehicle may not be as important of a factor amongst these particular shoppers at time of purchase, the mix of desired features does matter.

Following a similar trend for other vehicle segments and powertrains, intenders and considerers of electric three-row SUV/XSUVs are interested the most in features that bring added comfort and convenience. More than half want wireless charging pads for front and rear passengers, followed by other comfort and conveniences like heated and ventilated/cooled front seats, a household 110v outlet, an integrated air compressor, and a refrigerated center console. Other helpful must-haves like a hands-free power liftgate, second-row captain’s chairs, and power-folding rear seats (both 2nd and 3rd row) are also desired by more than a third of these shoppers. Even 30% are interested in swiveling second-row captain’s chairs, a feature recently showcased on Hyundai’s new 2026 IONIQ 9 that will be offered globally but not for the U.S. market.

There is also strong demand for features and technology that are exclusively for EVs, primarily features that increase convenience, charging speed, and range. “Just like we’ve seen with the current crop of gas and hybridized three-row SUV/XSUVs, the competition is fiery fierce and this notion of brand loyalty isn’t as relevant when cross-shopping,” says Robby DeGraff, Manager of Product and Consumer Insights, “Oftentimes it really does come down to which vehicle has the hottest features and tech a consumer can get their hands on right now.” While EVs, regardless of bodystyle or seat count, can entice consumers with striking new innovative features, AutoPacific data shows it’s imperative they still be loaded with popular, common must-haves found on ICE vehicles that these new consumers may be exiting.

About AutoPacific

AutoPacific is a future-oriented automotive marketing research and product consulting firm providing clients with industry intelligence and sales forecasting. The firm, founded in 1986, also conducts extensive proprietary and syndicated research and consulting for auto manufacturers, distributors, marketers, and suppliers worldwide, including its highly recognized Future Attribute Demand Study (FADS), a part of the larger Future Vehicle Planner. The company is headquartered in Long Beach, California with affiliate offices in Michigan, Wisconsin, and the Carolinas. Additional information can be found at http://www.autopacific.com. 

 

Deborah Grieb

Director, Marketing & Consumer Insights
AutoPacific
deborah.grieb@autopacific.com